Remaining schedules, as of today. The Eagles have been excluded for humane purposes:
Cowboys: Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Giants: Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Redskins:
7-6, 3-2 in division        8-5, 2-3 in division       7-6, 3-1 in division
Pittsburgh (7-6) Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Atlanta (11-2) Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Cleveland (5-8)
New Orleans (5-8) Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Baltimore (9-4) Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Philadelphia (4-9)
Washington (7-6) Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Philadelphia (4-9) Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Dallas (7-6)
Here’s how it shakes out. Cowboys lose to Pittsburgh, beat New Orleans, lose to Washington. That puts them at 9-7 8-8, 3-3 in division. Giants lose to Atlanta, beat Baltimore, then, when they need to win to make the playoffs, choke in Philadelphia. 9-7, 2-4 in division.
The Skins are the toughest to call. Maybe they lose next week in Cleveland, then RG III comes back and they beat Philly and Dallas. 9-7, with a 5-1 divisional record.
That leaves all three two teams at 9-7, with wildly different divisional records. Washington (improbably, unbelievably) wins the division in a landslide, actually, from a divisional-record standpoint, and if the Cowboys win one of the two games I have them losing, they could slip in with the second wild card spot, provided Chicago continues its slide.
Current odds to make the playoffs:
Giants– 63 percent chance
Redskins– 49 percent chance
Cowboys– 36 percent chance
Fun.
Update: I am indeed terrible with the math.
