Carol Reed’s Election Postmortem

Top local political consultant Carol Reed says she saw Tuesday’s Democratic Party “tsunami” coming for awhile. But she offers this bone to disheartened Dallas County Republicans, who enjoyed dominance here for so long: “Nothing’s ever permanent.” Jump for more analysis, Reed-style.

The GOP-leaning Reed, who honcho’d the Parkland Hospital expansion to a big victory, says she pushed hard to get the measure on the Nov. 4 ballot, expecting that the Democratic vote–doubtless sympathetic to Parkland’s situation–would be huge.

And it was, of course, with presidential candidate Barack Obama winning the county and the Dems easily beating back Republican county sheriff contender Lowell Cannaday in the process.

“Any other time,” Reed says, “the sheriff [Lupe Valdez] would have had a much tougher race.

“We’ve been going through the process … for several years now, though,” Reed goes on. “In 2004, Bush didn’t carry Dallas County by that much. We saw it starting to evolve even in 2001. … The only Republicans that are safe [here] now are those in individual districts.”

Cases in point: Congressman Jeb Hensarling and state Rep. Dan Branch. Says Reed: “I mean, do you see Dan Branch ever getting beaten?”

For Republicans, “it’s going to be very difficult if they’re running county-wide or city-wide for awhile,” she continues. “The ones who will do well will be in the carved-out individual districts. Most of the districts have been so carved up, it’s almost impossible to have a challenger.”

So, should we look for a permanent change in Dallas County voting patterns?

“Nothing’s ever permanent,” Reed says. “It swings to one side, and it stays there awhile, and then it swings back.”

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Comments

2 responses to “Carol Reed’s Election Postmortem”

  1. Wonton soup says:

    Did the world not listen to Carol this time? Such a shame. She is typical of the egotistical “power” people who think they know what people want (and no one else can be right). When she says East Dallas is weird, it sounds more like “they won’t do what I tell them or want them to do for myself or my monied connections”.
    Carol, this may be a little wake up call for you(kinda like her Trinity river celebration fiasco); a little humble pie might work in your favor.
    One good think to possibly come out of this election may be a little restraint both on the national level and perhaps more importantly at the city level. Dallas needs to express it’s voice, not just listen to the people with the tax breaks (rather the people whose property tax takes up the slack).

  2. Dooner says:

    WARNING: Don’t under estimate Carol.