Her 16 points is not enough to get her in the runoff, but there’s still a month to go. Latest numbers: Perry 44%, Hutchison 29%, Medina 16%. One Republican who hasÂ his eye on Kay Bailey’s Senate seat told me he doesn’t think Kay is finished yet. If she makes it into the runoff — is that an if? — it’s an entirely new race and she can still pull in the disaffected suburban voters who make up her base. I don’t know if I agree with that. Won’t Medina’s Tea Baggers go to Perry? AndÂ aren’t most Republicans in the suburbs sympathetic these days to the Tea Party?